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Small Sample Size Shenanigans

April 7, 2011

Statistics are important in baseball. Very. We all know this. They’re even more important on April 7th when no one has played more than six games. You doubt me? Just go ask the KNBR callers. Forget what we’re seeing with our eyes…Aaron Rowand should start for Andres Torres, Brandon Belt should be back in Fresno, we need to dump Jonathan Sanchez for a real fourth starter, and Buster Posey is a uh…bust.

Okay, okay…I’m done with the bad sarcasm now. The stats don’t mean much of anything this early in the season, but they sure are fun to look at. Here’s some gems in and around our guys in orange and black.

  • If I had done this 24 hours ago, Sergio Romo would have had a negative FIP. That’s right, in theory, Mr. Mutton-chops was supposed to be sucking runs away from the opposition. As is, he has a FIP and xFIP of 0.75. Not bad, eh?
  • Tim Lincecum already has .5 WAR (via FanGraphs), the rest of the pitchers combined have .6 WAR. On the other hand, even with the 13 strike outs from last night, Timmy doesn’t have the highest k/9 ratio. That belongs to Sanchez with a 12.71 k/9.
  • Barry Zito – .133 BABIP. Sustainable!
  • Pablo Sandoval is batting .400. He’s #16 on the leaderboards.
  • Freddy Sanchez has .4 WAR. Everyone laugh at Jason Heyward who’s at a measley .3.
  • You want to know what’s wrong with fielding percentage? Aubrey Huff’s is perfect. Apologies for the cheap shot, but no. Just no.
  • Tim Lincecum, at .64, has the lowest non-zero ERA in baseball. Matt Cain is one of the people still holding onto that zero. Roy Halladay is the only Phillies pitcher to make the first page of the leader-board on FanGraphs. Kevin Correia is two spots ahead of him.
  • On the other end of the spectrum, Brian Wilson has a 40.50 ERA and a 13.50 BB/9. His K/BB ratio is 1. Yes, he had a 13.50 K/9 as well. Oh heck, just click on his name. His whole stat line is something out of a bad animated movie, or the last half of Across the Universe.
  • Cliff Lee’s K/9 is 2+ over Lincecum’s. Lee has never had a K/9 within spitting distance of Timmy’s lowest over a full season.
  • Matt Cain has a 100% LOB%! Of course, so does Paul Maholm.
  • Freddy Sanchez is one of 22 players to have been intentionally walked. When it happened he was, as usual, hitting in front of Aubrey Huff. The rest of the list includes names like Josh Hamilton, Prince Fielder, Adrian Gonzales, and Ryan Braun. Oh, and Jeff Francoeur.
  • Pablo Sandoval is one of 19 players to be caught stealing. If it makes you feel any better, one of the others is Ichiro Suzuki. For now we’ll just ignore the fact that Ichiro has been successful thrice.

I’m sure there is more to talk about, but I’ve got a math assignment looking at me angrily from a nearby tab on my browser. Leave in any other nuggets you find in the comments.

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